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The S&P 500, Dow, and Nasdaq all rose on Tuesday after posting sharp drops on Monday. Monday's selloff was driven by AI disruption fears and renewed tariff uncertainty.

U.S. tariffs and uncertainty have weighed on global economic growth, but many parts of the economy have proved more resilient than expected, Swiss National Bank Chairman Martin Schlegel said on Tuesday.

The past week or so, the market has had a lot of news to absorb. President Trump's appointment of Kevin Warsh to Fed Chair sparked volatility in the US dollar, rates, and precious metals. In addition, a rash of technology-related news caused a large selloff in software and broader tech shares. Today we sift through this tumult and share our views on where the market may be headed.

The S&P 500 is rated Hold due to balanced headwinds and tailwinds through the 2026 midterm cycle. Historical patterns and Monte Carlo simulations suggest a likely correction before the 2026 election, but a strong post-election rebound.

A rotation into value stocks might make the market look cheaper. History suggests it could also bring weaker returns and more volatility.

The most important financial document this week is not an earnings report or a Fed statement. It is a speculative macro memo written as though it's June 2028.

The Scalable Homeland Innovative Enterprise Layered Defense (SHIELD) contract is the $151 billion backbone of the Pentagon's Golden Dome initiative.

Senator Elizabeth Warren discusses the Supreme Court tariff decision saying, "When you take money from people illegally, you gotta give it back."

Tariffs unaffected by President Trump's Supreme Court loss are adding costs for many U.S. manufacturers that use steel, limiting exports and jeopardizing jobs.

U.S. Senator Elizabeth Warren joins 'Squawk on the Street' to discuss Friday's Supreme Court decision on tariffs, the Federal Reserve, and more.

Suzanne Clark, U.S. Chamber of Commerce president and CEO, discusses her thoughts on the Supreme Court tariff ruling.

On Friday, President Trump announced his pick for FOMC chair after a closely watched series of interviews with candidates.

Broad Market Leadership Opens 2026 Despite early volatility driven by global bond market stress, tariff-related tensions, renewed inflation concerns, and uncertainty surrounding Federal Reserve leadership, equities finished January higher, with the S&P 500 reaching new all-time highs.

While the equity market has its well‑known “January Effect,” credit markets also show a seasonal pattern. Looking back over nearly three decades of data, January tends to be one of the better months for corporate bond spreads.

US stocks rebound as tech stocks and software names surge, boosted by the AMD–Meta AI deal while tariffs and geopolitical risks keep traders cautious.
Citrini Research's post on AI risks appears to have sparked a stock selloff.

February's consumer confidence showed a slight improvement over the previous month, though the Richmond Fed presented volatility on the manufacturing front. Kevin Green talks about what the latest prints mean for the economic outlook.
The Citrini Research paper imagines a scenario in which widespread AI adoption leads to disruption and societal chaos. Evercore called it “thought-provoking” but “implausible.

Most investors seem to think of diversification as defense. Suddenly, it's playing offense. While the S&P 500 has wrenched up and down but gone pretty much nowhere this year, international, emerging-market, small stocks and value stocks have taken off.

The Conference Board's gauge of consumer confidence increased to 91.2, from an upwardly revised 89 last month, data out Tuesday showed. The median estimate in a Bloomberg survey of economists called for a reading of 87.1.